The Democratic Party's Identity Crisis

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Tuesday, September 2nd, 2025. I'm Jessica Rosenthal. Governor's races in Virginia and New Jersey are on the horizon along with the New York mayor's election, but is a recent special election victory and soon-to-be vacant Senate seat giving Democrats new hope in the Midwest. Iowa is such a red state. If the Democrats are looking to begin their national comeback, it's just not going to happen in a state like Iowa. And Lisa Brady, there's a call for collective action to stop a rewiring of childhood and a mental illness epidemic. My basic argument is that we have overprotected our children in the real world and underprotected them online. And I'm Jimmy Falla. I've got the final word on the Fox News rundown. At the Democratic National Committee, recent summer meeting, the DNC chair Ken Martin told Fox News Digital. As data has shown declining Democratic voter registration and as the RNC outraises Democrats. And so it doesn't surprise me where we're at, but guess what? When you hit rock bottom, there's only one direction to go and that's up. And that's what we're doing, right? Martin pointed out at the DNC meeting that this year, his party has already won multiple special elections around the country. After Democrat Caitlin Dre won an Iowa Senate seat in a special election by roughly 10 points, a district president Trump won by roughly the same amount last year. Martin said this should put Republicans on notice. Heather Williams, president of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, told MSNBC last Thursday, Democrats are not just winning in areas that, you know, their voters are there and that they're comfortable. They are changing the trajectory and they are setting the stage not only for this November election, but also for the midterms. While recent polling has shown Democratic popularity tumbling to 32 and 33 percent, the president's approval rating in a mid-July Fox News poll stood at 46 percent. And while the number of people who felt the country was headed in a better direction had increased, the president as of mid-July was still underwater on approval for his handling of a number of topics except for border security. The same polls showed most voters do not approve of the Big Beautiful bill. Last week in Wisconsin, Vice President JD Vance predicted ahead of midterms Democrats would try to make their case with ads, accusing Republicans of taking money away from Medicaid. JD Vance indicated what the GOP response to that would be. Find yourself somebody who loves you as much as national Democrats love giving health care benefits to illegal aliens. But after that special election victory in Iowa, Democrats are also expressing hope. in the same state with Republican Senator Joni Ernst announcing she will not be seeking re-election next year. We've seen these false mirages of Democratic hope in a state like Iowa before. President Trump won the state by nine points in 2016, eight points in 2020, blew it wide open, 13 points in 2024. Colin Reed is a Republican strategist and co-founder of South and Hill Strategies. The state of Iowa, the United States Senate, the people of America have all been better off by Senator Ernst.

Presidents in the United States Senate, first female combat veteran, first woman, member of Congress from Iowa. And it's a state that was for many years blue, and then it went very red and open seats in midterm elections. Anything can happen. Fortunately, the Republicans have a really strong candidate, and Ashley Hinson, who appears at this early stage to be coalescing support from all wings of the party. The Democrats, as they usually do, will have a messy, divisive, nasty primary. And one of their big challenges in recent years is, I would say the state hasn't become more Republican. It's just become less Democrat. And as the party's fortunes have faded at the national level, places like Iowa, Ohio, Florida have gone from ultimate battlegrounds to just deeply red. Republican holds. And that doesn't mean that can't change at some point in time, but count me skeptical it's going to happen between now and next November. Okay, but you're citing a poll right from last fall. And I remember that poll well. But the Democratic candidate for an Iowa state Senate seat, Caitlin Dre, she beat the Republican candidate by, I think, like 10 points. President Trump won that Senate district by 11 points. So that's... quite a flip. That's not a poll, right? Those are actual votes. And there was an earlier flip in January with a seat Mike Zimmer one in District 35. So when you look at like these concrete wins, that's that's different from a poll. Are things shifting a bit? I'm just very dubious and doubtful. The Democratic Party has the infrastructure and the organization and the wherewithal to mount a competitive statewide race in the state of Iowa at this point in time when their approval ratings are as bad as they are. Doesn't mean this race can't and won't be close. It could. But Iowa is such a red state. If the Democrats are looking to begin their national comeback, it's just not going to happen in a state like Iowa. They've got more fertile ground. So that being said, the Senate map is getting a lot more interesting by the day. You've got North Carolina is now an open seat. Sherrod Brown's back in the Ohio race. So this thing is changing quickly. Iowa was the latest wrinkle in the mix. Midterms are always tough for the party in charge. But again, I keep coming back to because I think it's the inescapable truth. The Democratic Party. party just doesn't have a brand, a vision, a message, or a leader to offer. And that's ultimately where the wall they're going to keep running into until they eventually figured that part out. But they sound like they're talking very hopefully, right? And let's look at the broader picture, right? They flipped a Pennsylvania Senate seat earlier this year, a New York Senate seat district. These aren't just retentions. These are flips. There have been other special elections where they've maintained this year as well. Are you of the mind that, hey, this is what happens when the party in power starts to see pushback? Or is it a little bit early in President Trump's term for like? pushing back and flips like this. And Republicans should take note. Well, the Republicans have all three branches of power right now in Washington. And with that brings challenges in that all the opposing party has to do is offer themselves out there as a compelling or at least acceptable alternative. So when you're the out party, really all you have to do is say, if you don't like what's going on right now, come choose us.

But again, the issue they have, the Democrats have, is there's just nothing to rally around. We spent the better half of the last month of summer arguing about whether there is or is not too much crime in this country, an issue that most voters would say, yes, there is, whereas a Democratic Party until this weekend, with some of the flips and flops of Gavin Newsom and others has been unwilling to even exceed that there's, or concede that there's an issue or a challenge or a problem worth tackling. Yeah, about that crime issue, what do you make of this? We've got J.J.B. Pritzker and the mayor of Chicago saying, you know, sort of mocking the Trump administration and the president and saying, stay out of our town, stay out of our area. We don't need you. We don't want you. And then California's governor, Gavin Newsom, was resistant, right? Especially earlier in the summer when ICE and National Guard and Marines deployed. But now he seems to be shifting a little bit, saying he's not on board with what the president's doing, but he's got his own plan for his own crime teams, partnering with the California Highway Patrol. And that's come, his sort of shift on this or coming up with his own idea comes as the mayor of D.C. says, you know what? Actually, we kind of benefited a little bit from that National Guard deployment. It's chaotic. It's messy, but I'm seeing some things. Are you? Well, you hit the nail on the head. Mayor Muriel Bowser, Washington, D.C. presides over a city that Kamala Harris carried 93 to 7 last year. It has all of a sudden started saying a different tune in terms of what these early weeks of this measure has brought. And if Muriel Bowser of all people out there is saying that this wasn't such a horrible idea, then it's going to put all these other Democrats in a bind. Crimes touched everyone in these cities in some way. And again, when you've got one side out there saying we're at least trying something new, we're trying an innovative way to maybe. address the issue versus someone else who's saying don't believe you're lying eyes nothing to see here nothing's going wrong uh it's a pretty clear choice so i also note that the democratic mayor uh excuse the democratic governor of new mexico governor michel lujan grisham she deployed the national guard in her state her home city of albuquerque a few months ago because crime was spiraling out of control and none of the democratic lawmakers there flinched. No one seemed to mind. So it comes back to this issue that everything that President Trump does is going to be met with this fierce resistance from the other side, even if it's something that makes a lot of sense to most people. Colin, what sort of like tea leaves are you looking at next? Like we've had these special elections. Democrats say this is a sign that they're doing well. I assume we're keeping an eye then next on the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor, but of course the New York mayor's race. Like what are you sort of most keeping an eye on? Is it margins in some of these places like a Virginia governorship? Or is it just watching what happens in New York?

Well, those two governor's races are interesting canaries in the coal mine. The Democrats, both candidates are ahead right now. Both are running in races that typically tend to skew more democratic, especially in years where a Republican holds the White House, as is currently the case. And ultimately, those two might be names and leaders to pick up the reins of this just listless group and potentially lead them to a new direction. But at the same time, the one who... gains all the headlines, the one who attracts so much attention and energy, is Mr. Duran Zohran Mamdani up in New York City. And right now, as much as people wring their hands and shudder at the idea, rightfully, at the idea of an avowed socialist, potential communists, taking over the reins of the birthplace and the epicenter of capitalism, no one on the Democratic side seems to have found a way to slow him down or stop him. Andrew Cuomo and Eric Adams are irredeemable in the eyes of voters, most voters, for different reasons, but they're still in this race. New York City Democrats out number of Republicans 7 to 1. So this is a Democratic problem to figure out. And right now they haven't since, look, if you're Zohran Mamdani and you're up there just dominating the headlines, consuming all the attention, who knows what you're going to do after if you win in November. You could start campaigning for on behalf of other candidates. You can make the Democrat, you could re. frame the Democratic Party in your vision and say, look, I did this. I won. You guys should follow me. Ignore the naysayers. And that would be an immense challenge for the party as a whole that's trying to convince voters that they're not as crazy as their opponents would like them to believe. Okay. Finally, Colin, redistricting. Let's talk about it a little bit in the context of the idea that the party in power. Right? Tends to lose, at least in modern times, they lose house seats in those, the first block of midterms after a presidential victory. So two years later. And we're seeing Republicans sort of see that writing on the wall, right? And they're, they're efforting this redistricting plan in not just Texas, but now we're seeing it in other states. There's some resistance maybe in a place like Indiana. Missouri seems more on board, possibly. We'll see where this goes. But. What do Republicans have to be worried about other than, you know, if past is prologue and House seats tend to change parties in the midterms? Are there topics? Are there issues? They need to shore up here and work on, especially when we look at the polls and on individual topics like the economy and like the border? This is one of those things that voters kind of roll their eyes at. They understand both parties do it. The party that's in charge in whatever state tries to do it for their own political advantage. But I think when this dust all settles, we'll see, one, what the new maps look like and what those numbers look like because you're right. These margins are so narrow. And the party in charge does tend to lose a couple of seats. This is maybe one of those years where the wave may not be. reach the epic heights that some are suggesting just because a couple of things. There's just not as many seats to contest anymore because of gerrymandering. A lot of these seats are heavily R or heavily D. So you're fighting over a smaller turf of competitive seats. And two, look, we can talk about these polls all you want, but the one that really interests me is the right track, wrong track. One of the untold stories of the summer.

is how the right track has started creeping up and people who believe the country is going is moving in the right direction finally and i think that's a couple of factors one there's still a massive hangover from the biden years especially the end of it when it was just so apparent that the guy was totally out to lunch and who was running the country was just uh beyond the pale for most voters to stomach and then you had that the switcheroo with comway harris and all that and voters responded at the polls but we're still kind of dealing from the ramifications But too, Donald Trump is one of the most well-known, most recognizable. His numbers, like people, it's baked into the cake. People either like it or they don't like him. And his numbers have been really consistent across all of his time, both terms in office and the four years out. But that right track, wrong track is the one to keep an eye on because that is how people are feeling. That is how people are feeling about their own economic well-being, their family security and their ability to live their lives without overly due burdensome from the government. And that's the one that if that keeps trickling up, that's the one that could give Republicans that life raft to hang on to. in the midterm elections. Colin Reed, thank you so much for joining us. Thank you, Jess.

In business, the best days are when priorities stay on track. For mid-size and large companies, that means managing multiple exposures, from property and liability to cyber and more. The Hartford helps companies plan for risk with insurance and proactive risk solutions. So focus can stay where it belongs. Prepare for risk. Protect success. Smart risk management from the Hartford. Contact your agent or visit thehartford.com slash risk mitigation. It's Will Tane Country. Watch it live at noon Eastern Monday through Thursday at Fox News.com or on the Fox News YouTube channel. And don't miss the show. Listen and follow the podcast five days a week at Fox News Podcasts.com or wherever you download your favorite podcasts. This is Jimmy Falla with your Fox News commentary coming up. Illinois is ready to go where no state has gone before with mental health screenings. This is a national first that's worth celebrating about the state of Illinois. Governor J.B. Pritzker signing a bill this summer that requires annual mental health assessments for students in grades 3 through 12, beginning with the 2027-28 school year, though parents can opt out. We've got to overcome the stigma. We've got to make sure that we're... screening kids. And he says to make sure treatment is available for kids who need it. But author Abigail Shrier, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, thinks the policy could do more harm than good, telling Fox that screening large numbers of people for low incidence conditions leads to many false positives. And that's what we're going to see. The vast majority of kids flagged for suicidality and depression will be false positives. Nonetheless, we can forever upend the way they see themselves. There's also a growing concern about the bigger picture, including social media and the first cell phone generations and how it all fits together. Oh, my goodness, we are so underestimating the damage here. Jonathan Haidt is a social psychologist at New York University and author of The Anxious Generation, how the great rewiring of childhood is causing an epidemic of mental illness. When I started writing my book, The Anxious Generation, in 2022, I focused on the mental health because that's where the data is best. And there's so much talk about how social media and especially Instagram is making girls depressed. But what I've discovered since writing the book is that the damage is so much more than that. It goes to almost every area of development. Because their kids are spending five hours a day on social media on average, in about 8 to 10 hours a day, on other on screen devices, not counting school, it pushes out everything else. Our kids are deficient in social development. It's hard for them to look people in the eye or have conversations or take initiative, deficient in sexual development. It's very hard for young men and women to get together. They're kind of afraid of each other. The boys are consuming so much porn. They don't really know how to deal with a real woman.

And especially the attention fragmentation. All the kids on TikTok are learning how to swipe. The instant something seems not terribly interesting, which makes it very hard for them to pay attention in school if they're not on a screen. Wow. This doesn't just affect the kids, right? This is another aspect of this. The effect on the kids ends up having an effect on everyone. So the change, we all went through this change. When we got smartphones, they seemed magical at first, and they really are. I mean, it's an amazing piece of technology to have all of these tools in your pocket. But what we didn't understand back in 2007-8-9 when the iPhone was new is that, These tools, a lot of the apps are not really tools. They're companies trying to get to us, trying to ping us, to get us to come back. And social media is the worst at this, but video games do it. Newspapers now do it. We're getting pings constantly. So all of us are getting interrupted all the time. We're exhausted. We can't focus. How often do you go a half hour without being interrupted by your phone? So all of us are affected by this, but I've focused on the kids because for them, it's much, much more serious because their brains are changing rapidly during puberty. You know, people like you and me, we're distracted, but if we were to clean up our act, if we were to, you know, go on a phone-free vacation, our brain would go back to where it was, you know, 10 years ago. But kids, that doesn't happen. Right. You talk about them being rewired. Exactly. Because puberty is a rewiring. It's not just the body that's changing so quickly when kids enter puberty. It's actually the brain just as much. The brain doesn't grow larger between, you know, weirdly between age seven or eight and age 16. The brain isn't really growing larger, but what it's doing... is it's solidifying the connections that are useful and losing the connections and literally losing the neurons that are not useful. So it's a pruning process, which really is a rewiring. And it starts in the back of the brain and then moves its way forward. The last part of the brain to go through this rewiring is the prefrontal cortex. And that's not really done until around age 25. So our kids are literally rewiring their brains. That's normal. But we're giving them bizarre, awful, weird content to guide them. They're not flirting. They're not having conversations. They're not building a tree house. They're just swiping through garbage for 10, 15 years. You also write in The Anxious Generation about how play-based childhood began to decline in the 1980s. And then... A recent Atlantic article that you're part of makes the argument that kids actually want time together in person and aren't getting it. You know, why not and how do we change that? Is it too late already? That's right. No, it's not too late. This is the other half of the story. The anxious generation is not really a book about social media. It's a book about childhood. And my basic argument is that we have overprotected our children in the real world.

and underprotected them online. We are mammals. All mammals need to play a lot. If you've ever had a puppy or a kitten, you know, they need to play, play, play, because that's how they wire up their young brain. And human kids have always done that, too, until very recently. I grew up in the 70s. There was a huge crime wave. There was drunk driving, but we all played outside. Our parents told us, get out of here. Don't come back until dinner time. So kids figured out how to deal with the world. But in the 1980s and 90s, we freaked out in the United States about kidnapping and child abduction and sex offenders. And while those were, at least the sex offender part, that was a real problem in some institutions. But abduction, kidnapping, that's always been extraordinarily rare in this country. But with cable TV, we freaked out. We stopped trusting our neighbors. We stopped letting our kids out. especially in the 90s, but then, look, all these computers were coming in, and then the Internet. So we thought, oh, good, let them just sit in the room online. It'll be good for them, we thought. But it turns out it wasn't. Kids need a play-based childhood. What they now have is a phone-based childhood, and it doesn't work. You know, especially since the pandemic, it feels like there's been a much bigger awareness. about recognizing mental health issues in kids. Now we have Illinois recently becoming the first state to require a mental health screening for students every year in grades three through 12. I'm wondering if you think that that is overkill. Is that going, you know, too far in the other direction? It's not that it's too far in the other, well... What it is is we should be focused on the prevention. The asking kids if they've thought about suicide is such a bad idea. Telling them repeatedly, you know, asking them to talk about suicidal thoughts and depression is, I think, a really bad idea. Since COVID, we're much more aware of the huge increase in mental illness. That increase didn't really happen because of COVID. It began in 2012. It began as soon as kids got on Instagram, which was 2012. So while there's much greater awareness, I wish that was turned to wiping out what I think is the principal cause of that increase, which is if you raise your kids on smartphones and social media, you're doubling or tripling their chances of being depressed, anxious, and suicidal. How do we find a balance, though, between potentially... over diagnosing these conditions and not letting kids fall through the cracks, especially because, you know, isn't there always an inherent danger of a child being hesitant to put these kinds of challenges out there or even being able to recognize themselves that they might need help? Well, there's a common idea that we have to fight the stigma of mental illness.

And that was certainly true when I was young. Yeah, I went to a psychologist when I was in middle school. It was very shameful. Like I wouldn't tell anyone that. But by the 90s, we were destigmatizing all of this. And by the time you get to 2010, the stigma is pretty much gone. And what social media has done is for kids who hang out in, say, mental health TikTok channels. Mental illness is valorized, and the more extreme your symptoms, the more you can present yourself as being anxious and dysfunctional, the more support you get. So this is a really bad idea. And this is yet one more reason why you shouldn't let your kids on TikTok in particular or Instagram, is that they're going to find a lot of support and valorization for mental illness, whether they have it or not. Kids are actually tougher than we think. They're actually anti-fragile. If they have enough good experiences of challenge in the world, they get stronger. So I'd rather we put our energies there. Now, the one exception is this. In the United States, there is a great shortage of acute pediatric psychiatric care. What I mean is if your kid is suicidal, if your kid has made a suicide attempt, And it might take weeks before they can get assigned to someone. It might be hard to get them into treatment. That's terrible. So that is expensive, but that has to be done. States need to provide a lot more emergency psychiatric care. But in terms of screening large numbers of kids in elementary school, I think that's counterproductive. I'm not an expert on this aspect of it, but I've heard from some clinical psychologists. That you don't want to immerse kids in all these labels for emotion and mental illness and teach them to always be thinking about it. You want to just get them involved, get them connected, break out of the loneliness. They're so lonely when they spend their childhood on a screen. So when it comes to prevention and getting back to, as you say, a play-based childhood, what's our roadmap for that? How do we do it? Once you see that we're all affected by each other's decisions and that it's only hard to hold out because nobody else is holding out, then you realize the way out of a collective action trap is through collective action. So if a bunch of families in a town or if a whole state or if a school does these four things, then we break out of the trap. Here they are. Norm number one, no smartphone before high school. Just do not give a child a smartphone in middle school or elementary school. If you need to communicate, give them a flip phone, a basic phone watch. You can call, you can text. But don't let social media companies get to them while they're on the bus, while they're in class, while they're in the bathroom. Just don't do that. Give them a basic phone. Second norm is no social media before 16. Social media is wildly inappropriate for children. The third norm is phone-free schools. And this is really a no-brainer. The teachers have been clamoring for this for 10 years now. They can't possibly teach. They can't teach when they have to out-compete TikTok at every moment.

And then the fourth norm is far more independence, free play, and responsibility in the real world. We have to roll back the phone-based childhood, but then we have to replace it with a play-based childhood, which means we have to let our kids outside. We have to find ways to give them independence. Maybe it's just, you know, walk down to the store and pick up something. Or maybe I'll drive you to the store. You go in by yourself. You're eight years old. You can do this. I did this when I was eight years old or seven. you can go into the store and pick up a quart of milk for me. Thank you, honey. That's a real help. Kids want to be useful. They want to do things on their own, and we don't let them. We've got to start letting them. Jonathan Haidt, social psychologist at NYU, author of The Anxious Generation. Thank you so much for your time. Oh, Lisa, it's a real pleasure talking with you. And for listeners, you can get a lot more information at anxiousgeneration.com. Thanks so much, Lisa. I'm Devin Kelly with your Fox True Crime Minute. An update in the case of Florida state law professor Dan Markle's murder, his former mother-in-law, 75-year-old Donna Adelson, is now on trial, accused of mastermining the 2014 murder for hire. Prosecutors claim she worked with her son Charlie Adelson and his girlfriend to hire two men to murder Markle so her daughter could have sole custody of the children. Charlie's already serving a life sentence and the other accomplices are also behind bars. Prosecutors pointed Donna's actions after the murder, nearly fleeing to Vietnam, which has no extradition treaty, as proof she knew she was guilty. They also cite an FBI staying where she spoke in code with her son after receiving a warning note. Now, after nearly 11 years, a jury will decide if Donna Adelson was really the mastermind behind it all. There's more on this story at foxnews.com or subscribe to the Fox True Crime Podcast. I'm Devin Kelly with your Fox True Crime Minute.

It is time to take the quiz. It's five questions in less than five minutes. We ask people on the streets of New York City to play along. Let's see how you do. Take the quiz every day at thequiz.com. Then come back here to see how you did. Thank you for taking the quiz. Subscribe to this podcast at foxnewspodcasts.com. It's time for your Fox News commentary. Jimmy Phala. What's on your mind? So Taylor Swift got engaged to Travis Kelsey, and let me start by wishing them both the best of luck. After all, marriage is a sacred institution, and odds are you're only going to do it twice. Of course, this will be the first marriage for Travis and Taylor, or as the Internet calls them, Tavis or Trailer, because every power couple gets a nickname these days. Think about it. Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie were Brangelinea. Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes were Tomcat. And Ben Affleck and Jennifer Lopez were miserable. But there's a good reason to believe these two might be different. For one, they both have big married families, so they've grown up around successful couples. And two, Travis Kelsey has to be motivated to get married because anyone who watch the Chiefs in the preseason realizes this is his only chance to get a ring this year. Will it actually work? I don't know. Celebrity marriages normally have the lifespan of a goldfish. You win at a carnival. They look great when you get them out, but they don't last that long once you get them home. As a music fan, you almost have to root against it because this chick has won a zillion Grammy singing about breakups. Could you imagine how good her actual divorce album would be? Seriously, if you think Taylor was passionate about singing Shake It Off to some dirtbag guitar she broke up with, imagine how fired up she'd be to have bad blood with a divorce attorney who wants to take half her stuff. Regardless of how it goes, the fact that they're even trying has the internet on fire, and nobody's happier about it than the CEO of Cracker Barrel, who finally got her company's dopey rebrand out of the headlines for a few hours. In fact, Cracker Barrel was so happy with the air cover from Taylor that they announced late Tuesday night that the company was going to keep its old timer on the logo after all. Probably because they realized the last party to ditch their old timer ended up with Kamala Harris. I kid, but Taylor Swift did endorse Kamala Harris in the last election. Let's hope for her sake she did a better job of picking a winner this time around. Congrats to Travis and Taylor. I told myself I wasn't going to cry. Be sure to listen to Fox Across America with me, Jimmy Fallow, weekdays from noon to three on the Fox News app. And check out Fox News Saturday night with Jimmy Falla every Saturday night at 10 p.m. on the Fox News Journal.

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